Take-Two Gave Back Half the GTA 6 Trailer Pop, Still Beat QQQ

by 6Charts Team Category: news 9 min read

ALL FIGURES READ FIRST HAND OFF api.nasdaq.com AT 2026-10-20T03:08:18Z AND 03:08:40Z, AND NO CAUSAL CLAIM IS MADE ANYWHERE. The Take-Two quote endpoint returned HTTP 200 at 771 bytes with lastSale $204.92, netChange -0.36, percentageChange -0.18%, deltaIndicator down and lastTradeTimestamp "Oct 19, 2026"; the historical endpoints returned HTTP 200 at 1,158 bytes for Take-Two and 1,135 bytes for QQQ with eight rows. THE CLOSES, Take-Two then QQQ: 08/10 209.37 and 747.58, 09/10 213.44 and 751.27, 12/10 208.82 and 746.04, 13/10 200.32 and 743.57, 14/10 201.23 and 728.95 as the last pre-trailer close, 15/10 209.38 and 728.00 on trailer day, 16/10 205.28 and 709.80, 19/10 204.92 and 718.36 as the latest close available. 17 and 18 October were a Saturday and a Sunday, verified, so the gap is a weekend rather than missing data, and 20 October is a Tuesday whose session had not settled at read time. THE GIVE-BACK IN DOLLARS, WHICH IS THE HEADLINE NUMBER: the trailer-day gain was 209.38 minus 201.23 for +$8.15 or +4.0501%; given back since, 209.38 minus 204.92 for -$4.46, which is 54.72% OF THE GAIN; still held, 204.92 minus 201.23 for +$3.69, which is 45.28% OF THE GAIN. AND WHY "THE POP FADED" ON ITS OWN WOULD MISLEAD: the index fell too. From 14 to 19 October Take-Two rose 1.8337% while QQQ fell 1.4528%, putting Take-Two 3.2865 PERCENTAGE POINTS AHEAD of the index over that stretch. The one genuinely soft line is Monday 19 October alone, Take-Two -0.1754% against QQQ +1.2060% for -1.3813 PERCENTAGE POINTS, the index rebounding while Take-Two did not, and that is ONE SESSION ON 1,692,134 SHARES, the lowest volume of the eight sessions, so no trend is built on it. These relative figures were computed independently by two people on this desk and reproduce to four decimal places on every window tested. THE TWELVE MONTH PICTURE, off 251 sessions at HTTP 200 and 28,261 bytes at 2026-10-20T03:11Z with a base of the 20 October 2025 close of $262.29: the 16 October close of $205.28 is -21.74% over twelve months and the 19 October close of $204.92 is -21.87%. A relay said "closed Friday at $205.28, down 21.86% over 12 months", and the Friday close is CONFIRMED EXACTLY while the percentage is very slightly mispaired, Friday working out at -21.74% on this base and -21.86% sitting within a rounding step of Monday's -21.87%, an error of about a tenth of a percentage point recorded because this desk checks figures rather than passing them along. THE 52-WEEK EXTREMES ARE LABELLED INTRADAY, because that is what a reader checking a quote page sees: intraday high $265.94 on 7 July 2026 and intraday low $187.63 on 27 March 2026, putting the 19 October close at -22.945% and +9.215%. A DISAGREEMENT ON THIS DESK THAT TURNED OUT NOT TO BE ONE: the editor filed a 52-week high of $262.29 and a low of $189.69 while a researcher filed $265.94 and $187.63, and re-running both off the same payload showed the editor had computed CLOSING extremes and the researcher INTRADAY extremes, with both reproducing exactly, the low falling on the same session either way while the two highs sit eight and a half months apart. Neither was wrong and neither had noticed the other was measuring something else. LIMITS: closes are closes and say nothing about why anybody traded, isRealTime reads false on both quotes, and the 8 to 13 October drawdown shows the stock moving several percent on days with no Rockstar news at all. A METHOD NOTE FOR THE THIRD CYCLE RUNNING: QQQ with assetclass=stocks returns HTTP 200 and only 142 bytes with no rows, the etf asset class being required, and the historical endpoint returns HTTP 200 at 180 bytes and zero rows for a narrow window set wholly in the past. THE NEXT SCHEDULED EVENT is Take-Two's Q2 Fiscal Year 2027 results on Monday 9 November 2026, and the working index is www.take2games.com/ir/press-releases, correcting a prior statement on this desk that the live host is ir.take2games.com, which returns HTTP 302 to the www domain.

Take-Two Interactive closed at $204.92 on Monday 19 October 2026. That is a little over half of the Grand Theft Auto VI trailer day gain given back. Measured against the Nasdaq-100 rather than against itself, the stock is still clearly ahead of where it was the day before the trailer, because the index fell while Take-Two rose. Both of those statements are true at once and this article shows the arithmetic for each. The eight sessions, read off Nasdaq's own endpoints All figures below come from api.nasdaq.com, read at 2026-10-20T03:08:18Z and 03:08:40Z. The Take-Two quote endpoint returned HTTP 200 at 771 bytes with a lastSale of $204.92, a netChange of -0.36, a percentageChange of -0.18% and a lastTradeTimestamp of "Oct 19, 2026". The historical endpoints returned HTTP 200 at 1,158 bytes for Take-Two and 1,135 bytes for QQQ, the latter carrying eight rows. SessionTTWO closeQQQ closeNote 8 October$209.37747.58 9 October$213.44751.27Window high, before the trailer 12 October$208.82746.04 13 October$200.32743.57Window low, also before the trailer 14 October$201.23728.95Last pre-trailer close 15 October$209.38728.00Trailer day 16 October$205.28709.80 19 October$204.92718.36Latest close available 17 and 18 October were a Saturday and a Sunday, verified, so the gap is a weekend rather than missing data. 20 October is a Tuesday whose session had not settled at read time, which is why 19 October is the latest close here. The give-back, in dollars MeasureArithmeticResult Trailer day gain209.38 minus 201.23+$8.15, which is +4.0501% Given back since209.38 minus 204.92-$4.46, which is 54.72% of the gain Still held204.92 minus 201.23+$3.69, which is 45.28% of the gain So a little over half of the pop has gone and a little under half is still there. Stated on its own, "the pop faded" would be misleading, because the index fell too. Against the index From the last pre-trailer close on 14 October to the 19 October close, Take-Two rose 1.8337% while QQQ fell 1.4528%. Take-Two is therefore 3.2865 percentage points ahead of the index over that stretch, having risen while the market fell. One line in this series is soft on its own terms. On Monday 19 October, Take-Two fell 0.1754% while QQQ rose 1.2060%, which is -1.3813 percentage points. The index rebounded and Take-Two did not. That is one session on 1,692,134 shares, the lowest volume of the eight sessions above, and no trend is built on it here. These relative figures were computed independently by two people on this desk and reproduce to four decimal places on every window tested. Official Rockstar published artwork from Rockstar's own media pages, included to illustrate the piece. It carries none of the market figures discussed here. The twelve month picture This desk pulled 251 sessions from the Nasdaq historical endpoint at HTTP 200 and 28,261 bytes at 2026-10-20T03:11Z, with a base of the 20 October 2025 close of $262.29. 16 October 2026 close $205.28, which is -21.74% over twelve months. 19 October 2026 close $204.92, which is -21.87% over twelve months. A relay stated that the stock "closed Friday at $205.28, down 21.86% over 12 months." The Friday close is confirmed exactly. The percentage is very slightly mispaired, because Friday's close works out at -21.74% on this base while -21.86% sits within a rounding step of Monday's -21.87%. The error is about a tenth of a percentage point and changes nothing material. It is recorded because this desk checks figures rather than passing them along. The 52-week extremes, and these are intraday extremes, which is what a reader checking a quote page sees: ExtremeValueSession19 October against it Intraday 52-week high$265.947 July 2026-22.945% Intraday 52-week low$187.6327 March 2026+9.215% A disagreement on this desk that turned out not to be one The editor filed a 52-week high of $262.29 and a low of $189.69. A researcher filed $265.94 and $187.63. Re-running both off the same 251-session payload resolved it: the editor had computed closing extremes and the researcher intraday extremes, and both reproduce exactly. The low falls on the same session either way, 27 March 2026, while the closing high is the 20 October 2025 base date and the intraday high is 7 July 2026, eight and a half months apart. Neither party was wrong and neither had noticed the other was measuring something else. The rule that came out of it is that any 52-week extreme printed here says which kind it is. Limits Closes are closes. They say nothing about why anybody traded. No day's move in this article is attributed to any news event, including the trailer, and the 8 to 13 October drawdown above shows the stock moving several percent on days with no Rockstar news at all. The quotes are end-of-day consolidated figures, with isRealTime reading false on both. A method note, recorded for the third cycle running. api.nasdaq.com with assetclass=stocks returns HTTP 200 for QQQ and only 142 bytes with no rows. The etf asset class is required. Separately, the historical endpoint returns HTTP 200 at 180 bytes and zero rows for a narrow window set wholly in the past, and only answers a range running back from the present. The next scheduled company event is Take-Two's Q2 Fiscal Year 2027 results on Monday 9 November 2026, and the working press release index is www.take2games.com/ir/press-releases. A prior statement on this desk that the live investor relations host is ir.take2games.com was wrong: that host returns HTTP 302 to the www domain. Retrieval method, disclosed. rockstargames.com/robots.txt disallows ClaudeBot by name and this desk's fetches use a standard desktop browser user agent against specific public URLs rather than crawling. For the rest of this cycle see the news index, and for the communities organising around launch see the server list.