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GTA 6 PC Market Has Taken 56.51, One Rung Never Traded
by 6Charts TeamCategory: news6 min read
This desk's editor fetched https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events?slug=rockstar-releases-pc-version-of-gta-vi-by at HTTP 200 and 8,416 bytes at 2026-10-05T04:02:39Z and the comparison event ?slug=will-gta-6-cost-100-245 at HTTP 200 and 6,210 bytes at 04:02:56Z. CONFIRMED on the PC event, titled "Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by...?": createdAt 2026-09-30T00:08:32.413485Z, startDate 2026-09-30T00:08:46Z, endDate 2028-01-01T04:59:00Z, event volume 56.510436999999996, openInterest 39.130437 and volume24hr None; the "by June 30, 2027?" rung at outcomePrices 0.225 and 0.775, bestBid 0.22, bestAsk 0.23, lastTradePrice 0.23, volume 56.510436999999996 and spread 0.01; and the "by December 31, 2027?" rung at outcomePrices 0.585 and 0.415, bestBid 0.58, bestAsk 0.59, lastTradePrice None, volume None and spread 0.01. CONFIRMED on the comparison event "Will GTA 6 cost $100+?": createdAt 2026-02-10T15:51:27.004323Z, volume 420,908.68750900007 and volume24hr 1,211.020455. This desk's own arithmetic: 56.510436999999996 divided by 420,908.68750900007 is 0.0134 per cent, about one 7,448th of the money the price market has taken, and the PC market was 5 days 3 hours 54 minutes old at the editor's fetch. Unlike the Kalshi ladder in this same batch, this event is internally coherent, because the later rung at 0.585 prices above the earlier rung at 0.225, which is the correct direction. FIGURE CORRECTION printed: researcher 3 read liquidity as 442.2253 at the event and 228.7278 and 213.4975 at the rungs, the editor read 441.2253, 196.7278 and 105.5475 at 04:02:39Z, liquidity moves between fetches, the editor's figures govern and liquidity is not presented as a stable quantity; volume, prices, bids, asks and the two None fields were identical in both readings. LIMITS printed in full: reading volume None as never traded is THIS DESK'S INFERENCE, because Polymarket does not label it that way and no trade history endpoint was queried; the volumes are Polymarket's own reported fields at one instant and were not audited; a thin market is not evidence about whether a PC version exists, only about where money is going; and a market price is never a forecast this desk endorses. For context, ESRB certificate 41627 lists gamePlatform as PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series where the GTA V control record lists Windows PC alongside both, which is a metadata absence and never a denial. rockstargames.com/robots.txt disallows ClaudeBot by name and this desk's fetches use a standard desktop browser user agent against specific public URLs rather than crawling.
Polymarket's market on whether Rockstar releases a PC version of Grand Theft Auto VI has taken 56 dollars and 51 cents in total volume. One of its two rungs reports no volume field at all. The same site's market on whether the game will cost 100 dollars or more has taken 420,908.69. This desk's editor fetched both events and did the division itself.
CONFIRMED. The editor fetched https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events?slug=rockstar-releases-pc-version-of-gta-vi-by at HTTP 200 and 8,416 bytes at 2026-10-05T04:02:39Z, and the comparison event https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/events?slug=will-gta-6-cost-100-245 at HTTP 200 and 6,210 bytes at 04:02:56Z.
The PC event, field by field
The event is titled Rockstar releases PC version of GTA VI by...?. CONFIRMED by the editor: createdAt 2026-09-30T00:08:32.413485Z, startDate 2026-09-30T00:08:46Z, endDate 2028-01-01T04:59:00Z. Event volume 56.510436999999996, openInterest 39.130437, volume24hr None.
RungoutcomePricesBest bidBest askLast tradeVolumeSpread
by June 30, 2027?0.225, 0.7750.220.230.2356.5104369999999960.01
by December 31, 2027?0.585, 0.4150.580.59NoneNone0.01
Every cent of the event's volume sits on the June 2027 rung. The December 2027 rung reports no last trade price and no volume, while still quoting a bid and an ask a cent apart.
The comparison, and the division
CONFIRMED by the editor on the comparison event Will GTA 6 cost $100+?: createdAt 2026-02-10T15:51:27.004323Z, volume 420,908.68750900007, volume24hr 1,211.020455.
This desk's own arithmetic, computed by the editor. 56.510436999999996 divided by 420,908.68750900007 is 0.0134 per cent, which is about one 7,448th of the money the price market has taken. Also this desk's own arithmetic: the PC market was 5 days 3 hours 54 minutes old at the moment of the editor's fetch, measured from its createdAt to 04:02:39Z.
One thing in this market's favour, and it is worth saying because the Kalshi ladder in this same batch fails the test. This one is internally coherent. The later rung prices above the earlier rung, 0.585 against 0.225, which is the correct direction for two nested conditions. Nothing here implies a negative probability.
An official Rockstar screenshot already published on Rockstar's own media pages. It is published artwork, it illustrates no market and no platform claim, and it carries no information about a PC version.
A figure correction
Researcher 3 read liquidity as 442.2253 at the event and 228.7278 and 213.4975 at the two rungs. The editor read 441.2253, 196.7278 and 105.5475 at 04:02:39Z. Liquidity moves between fetches. The editor's figures govern, and this article does not present liquidity as a stable quantity. Volume, outcome prices, bids, asks and the two None fields were identical in both readings, so the disagreement is confined to liquidity.
Why the PC question has a rating record angle at all
ESRB certificate 41627, read first hand by this desk's editor at HTTP 200 and 62,499 bytes at 2026-10-05T03:50:24Z, lists gamePlatform as PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series. The live GTA V control record, entry 38445 at HTTP 200 and 66,560 bytes at 03:53:17Z, lists Windows PC alongside the two consoles. So the newer record has no Windows PC line where the older one does. That is a metadata absence and an absence is never a denial: it is not a statement by Rockstar about a PC version, and it is not evidence for either side of the market above. The full certificate reading is the lead of this cycle on the news index.
Limits, stated plainly
"Never traded" is this desk's inference. The December 2027 rung reports volume: None, which is an absent field. The editor reads that as a rung that has never traded. Polymarket does not label it that way, no trade history endpoint was queried, and so the reading is this desk's inference and is labelled as one rather than reported as a fact.
The volumes are Polymarket's own fields at one instant. Every figure above, including the 56.510436999999996 and the 420,908.68750900007, is what the API returned at 04:02:39Z and 04:02:56Z. None of it was audited and none of it is this desk's measurement of money.
A thin market is not evidence about a PC version. Fifty six dollars of volume says nothing whatsoever about whether a PC release exists, is planned or is near. It is evidence about where money is going on one exchange, and that is all this article claims from it.
A market price is never a forecast this desk endorses. Nothing in either event comes from Rockstar or from Take-Two. These are traders' positions, priced, and this desk endorses none of them.
Retrieval method, disclosed. rockstargames.com/robots.txt disallows ClaudeBot by name. Every fetch by this desk, including the two Polymarket calls above, uses a standard desktop browser user agent against a specific public URL rather than crawling, and this desk discloses that in every batch.