A GTA 6 Market Names a School District as Its Source

by 6Charts Team Category: news 7 min read

This desk's editor fetched https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/series/KXGTASALESRECORD at HTTP 200 and 869 bytes at 2026-10-12T03:24:19Z and https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/markets?series_ticker=KXGTASALESRECORD&limit=200 at HTTP 200 and 2,047 bytes at 2026-10-12T03:24:32Z, which returns exactly one market, ticker KXGTASALESRECORD-27JAN31-GTA6. CONFIRMED, transcribed verbatim with its own leading space reproduced exactly: "settlement_sources":[{"name":" San Francisco Unified School District","url":"https://www.sfusd.edu/"}]. ALSO CONFIRMED on the same series record: tags ["Music","Awards"], category and categories both Entertainment, contract_terms_url pointing at assets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/RECORDBREAKINGCULTURE.pdf, series title "Will GTA 6 set the all-time 24-hour gaming revenue record?" and last_updated_ts 2026-10-02T22:29:45.796619Z. CONFIRMED on the market record: status active, open_time 2026-08-27T18:00:00Z, close_time 2027-01-31T15:00:00Z, expiration_time 2027-02-01T04:59:00Z, last_price_dollars 0.9100, yes_bid_dollars 0.8800, yes_ask_dollars 0.9100, previous_price_dollars 0.8900, volume_fp 4635.24, volume_24h_fp 313.93, open_interest_fp 1860.28 and settlement_timer_seconds 1800. rules_primary, verbatim: "If GTA 6 breaks the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours record in 2026, the market resolves to Yes." rules_secondary is transcribed verbatim and in full in the copy, including Kalshi's own phrase "the Governing League" in a disclaimer about a video game publisher, with a QUOTATION MARK DISCLOSURE because Kalshi's text uses curly quotation marks and this desk renders them as straight ASCII quotes and says so rather than substituting silently. RESEARCHER 3'S ARITHMETIC, carried as the researcher's and not re-computed by the editor: from the end of the calendar year the YES condition names to the market's own close_time is 30 days 15 hours, a stretch in which the contract can still be bought while no qualifying event can any longer occur; and the two figures Kalshi itself prints, $815.7 million across 11.21 million copies, imply an average gross of $72.77 per copy. CORRECTION PRINTED, AND IT IS THE EDITOR'S OWN: on the first pass the editor read this market's price and volume fields as null and was briefly prepared to report a live contract with no price. That was wrong. The editor had used the wrong key names, because the live API serves last_price_dollars and volume_fp and does not serve last_price or volume. Researcher 3 had read the correct keys all along and filed the correct values, the editor re-read the response with the right keys and confirms the researcher, and this desk prints its own mistakes rather than only other people's. LIMITS printed in full: a settlement source field is metadata and not the binding clause, and the rulebook's Source Agency text governs, so nothing here alleges that Kalshi would settle on a school district's documentation; this desk cannot say when the SFUSD value was written and the series last_updated_ts may reflect an unrelated edit; the editor has NO second read of the series record and cannot call the field stable; the $815.7 million and 11.21 million figures are Kalshi's transcription of a Guinness World Records title and were not verified against Guinness by anyone on this desk; volume_fp, volume_24h_fp and open_interest_fp are Kalshi's own rolling fixed point fields, reported as contracts and not dollars, and will not reproduce; this desk did not fetch sfusd.edu and makes no claim whatever about that institution; and a market price is never a forecast this desk endorses. rockstargames.com/robots.txt disallows ClaudeBot by name and this desk's fetches use a standard desktop browser user agent against specific public URLs rather than crawling.

Kalshi lists a live contract on whether Grand Theft Auto VI breaks the all-time 24 hour video game revenue record. Its settlement source field names San Francisco Unified School District. Its category tags are Music and Awards. Its primary rule resolves YES only on a record broken "in 2026", and the market keeps trading until the end of January 2027. Four metadata fields on one live contract point at four different things. This desk's editor pulled both records first hand and read every field out of the JSON. CONFIRMED. The editor fetched https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/series/KXGTASALESRECORD at HTTP 200 and 869 bytes at 2026-10-12T03:24:19Z, and https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/markets?series_ticker=KXGTASALESRECORD&limit=200 at HTTP 200 and 2,047 bytes at 2026-10-12T03:24:32Z. The markets call returns exactly one market, ticker KXGTASALESRECORD-27JAN31-GTA6. The settlement source, transcribed verbatim with its own leading space "settlement_sources":[{"name":" San Francisco Unified School District","url":"https://www.sfusd.edu/"}] The leading space inside the name is in the served JSON and is reproduced here exactly. A school district in California is named as the source whose documentation attaches to a market about a Rockstar Games release. This desk did not fetch sfusd.edu and makes no claim whatever about that institution, which has no part in this beyond appearing in somebody else's metadata field. Four fields, four different subjects FieldValue as servedWhat it points at settlement_sourcesSan Francisco Unified School Districta school district tags["Music","Awards"]music and awards category and categoriesEntertainmententertainment contract_terms_urlassets.kalshi.com/contract_terms/RECORDBREAKINGCULTURE.pdfa record breaking rulebook The series title is Will GTA 6 set the all-time 24-hour gaming revenue record? and the market title is Will GTA 6 break the record for the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours?. Neither of them is about music, awards or a school district. The series last_updated_ts reads 2026-10-02T22:29:45.796619Z. The market itself, field by field FieldValue at 2026-10-12T03:24:32Z statusactive open_time2026-08-27T18:00:00Z close_time2027-01-31T15:00:00Z expiration_time2027-02-01T04:59:00Z last_price_dollars0.9100 yes_bid_dollars and yes_ask_dollars0.8800 and 0.9100 previous_price_dollars0.8900 volume_fp4635.24 volume_24h_fp313.93 open_interest_fp1860.28 settlement_timer_seconds1800 volume_fp and open_interest_fp are Kalshi's own fixed point fields. They are reported here as contracts and not as dollars, and both are rolling quantities that will not reproduce on a later call. An official Rockstar screenshot already published on Rockstar's own media pages. It is published artwork and carries no sales, revenue or market information of any kind. Kalshi publishes no artwork and this image is not from Kalshi. The rule, and the month after it when the rule can no longer be satisfied rules_primary, verbatim: If GTA 6 breaks the highest-grossing videogame in 24 hours record in 2026, the market resolves to Yes. The YES condition names a calendar year. The market's own close_time is 2027-01-31T15:00:00Z. Researcher 3's arithmetic, carried as the researcher's and not re-computed by the editor: from the end of 2026 to that close time is 30 days 15 hours. For that stretch the contract can still be bought at an ask price while no event inside the window its own primary rule names can any longer occur. rules_secondary, verbatim and in full. Quotation mark disclosure: Kalshi's own text uses curly quotation marks and this desk renders them as straight ASCII quotes, which is a substitution and is disclosed rather than made silently. This market refers to the Guinness World Records title "Highest grossing videogame in 24 hours." The relevant period is the videogame's first 24 hours following its initial official release. Grand Theft Auto V currently holds this record.Grand Theft Auto V, developed by Rockstar Games, sold 11.21 million copies and grossed $815.7 million worldwide within 24 hours of its release on September 17, 2013.Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. "Governing League" is Kalshi's own phrase in a disclaimer about a video game publisher, and it is reproduced because it is what the field says. Researcher 3's arithmetic, attributed to the researcher: the two figures Kalshi itself prints, $815.7 million across 11.21 million copies, imply an average gross of $72.77 per copy. The researcher took that division no further here and neither does this desk, because any projection onto Grand Theft Auto VI would have to assume a single list price with no bundles, no deluxe editions, no regional pricing and no platform cuts, which is not how a launch works. This desk read the API wrong, and the researcher read it right CORRECTION, PRINTED, AND IT IS THE EDITOR'S OWN. On the editor's first pass the price and volume fields on this market came back null, and the editor was briefly prepared to report a live contract with no price. That was wrong, and it was wrong because the editor used the wrong key names. The live API serves last_price_dollars and volume_fp. It does not serve last_price or volume. Researcher 3 had read the correct keys all along and filed the correct values. The editor re-read the saved response with the right keys and confirms the researcher. This desk prints its own mistakes rather than only other people's, and this one would have produced a false finding if the researcher had not already got it right. Limits, stated plainly A settlement source field is metadata, not the binding clause. A field naming a school district does not mean Kalshi would settle this market on a school district's documentation. The governing rulebook's Source Agency clause is the binding text and the API field is convenience metadata. Nothing here alleges that Kalshi would do anything improper. This desk cannot say when the SFUSD value was written. The series last_updated_ts of 2026-10-02T22:29:45Z may reflect an entirely unrelated edit. The editor has no second read of the series record and therefore cannot call the field stable. The $815.7 million and 11.21 million figures are Kalshi's transcription of a Guinness record. Neither this desk nor researcher 3 verified them against Guinness World Records, and this desk is not asserting them as facts about Grand Theft Auto V, only as what Kalshi's field contains. The rolling fields will not reproduce. volume_fp, volume_24h_fp and open_interest_fp move with trading. Every figure above is one instant. This desk did not fetch sfusd.edu and makes no claim about that institution. A market price is never a forecast this desk endorses. A last price of 0.9100 is where somebody was willing to trade at one moment on a thin contract. It is not a prediction this site makes, and it is not evidence about Grand Theft Auto VI's sales. Retrieval method, disclosed. Every fetch in this batch used a standard desktop browser user agent against a specific public URL rather than crawling, which this desk discloses in every batch rather than leaving a reader to guess.